CIA Cannot Foresee It All

      Often times we, as Americans, hold the CIA and other agencies to a very high standard. But at the same time, the CIA is made up of humans, not computers. Analysts try their best to make the right decision but you cannot always predict the outcome.  For example,  the case of the 1973 Arab-Israeli Way. Kovar has to make the executive decision of whether or not a Syrian War plan was in fact a threat or not. There were numerous signs that showed Egypt and Syria with potential to attack Israel.
        Many analysts that make this mistake openly acknowledge that they had made a terrible mistake, one that they must live with their entire lives. In Kovar's case, downplaying Syria and Egypt's intentions the eve of war, was his biggest regret. Yet somehow it seems that the CIA is still having a hard time identifying the future of the Middle East. I believe it has to do with the fact that the Middle East seems to just erupt into chaos when we least expect it, well that's how I feel as a citizen. There is always turmoil in countries with lack of governmental leadership, health care, and especially in an area where resources are used against each other. You have countries like Palestine and Israel constantly at each other's throats with everyone's hands in the middle. I think sometimes it is easy to be complacent with an issue that has been going on for awhile.